MAYFAIR OFFICE MARKET Q3 2016

THE MARKET

The Mayfair office market comprises a total stock of 12.4m sq ft over 851 buildings. The vacancy rate is currently 4.4% against a 5 year average of 5.15%. In comparison the whole London office market has a current vacancy rate of 6.5%.

Occupier demand for prime buildings in Mayfair has reduced during the first three Quarters of 2016 compared with the whole of 2015 however supply has remained limited but static. The market is dominated by transactions of sub 5,000 sq ft (89%) and there have only been 3 deals in excess of 10,000 sq ft so far in 2016 compared with 16 in 2015. Currently there are 24 buildings available in Mayfair offering in excess of 10,000 sq ft.

There were 179 letting transactions in 2015 in excess of 1,000 sq ft totalling 713,766 sq ft with an average floor area of 3,988 sq ft and a total rent roll of £58.7m equating to an average rent of £82.24 per sq ft. In the first three quarters in 2016 there have been 100 lettings totalling 286,640 sq ft with an average of 2,866 sq ft and a rent roll of £23.5m. On a like for like basis the rent roll is down by 47%, overall floor area by 46% and number of lettings by 25%.

The lead up to the referendum created inactivity through delayed decision making which was quickly followed by the quiet summer period. Based on the recent step up in viewing and a sharp increase in transactions going into lawyers hands it is widely anticipated that there will be a strong final quarter this year. If this is the case the figures above should be improved on.

The market was inflated and beginning to soften six months prior to the Brexit referendum and what lies ahead in 2017 will be more difficult to predict as the government prepares to invoke Article 50.

LETTINGS BY FLOOR AREA

The largest transaction during 2015 was the letting of a floor of 28,804 sq ft in 1 Curzon Street. So far in 2016 the largest letting has been 14,540 sq ft at 1 New Burlington Place.

OCCUPIER PROFILE

New Leases by Occupier Sector Last 12 Months

The Financial sector remains the dominant occupier in Mayfair. Business Services has grown slightly as has the Mining & Resources sector. Real Estate has reduced significantly as much of the sector have relocated to elsewhere in the core to reduce property overheads.

RENTAL LEVELS

The highest rent achieved in Mayfair in 2015 was £150.00 per sq ft at 13 Berkeley Street which was achieved by ourselves. This year so far the highest rent is £132.50 which The Crown Estate achieved in a letting to Accel of 1 New Burlington Place.

The average rent in 2015 was £82.32 per sq ft and so far in 2016 it is slightly down at £81.83 per sq ft.

The highest quoting rent at present is £150.00 per sq ft for the top floors at 30 Berkeley Square.

RECENT TRANSACTIONS

Building Size Sq Ft Landlord Tenant Rent Sq Ft
1 New Burlington Place             9,031 Crown Estate Accel Partners        £132.50
24 Grosvenor Hill             6,534 Grosvenor Estate Aser Media         £ 94.00
Stratton House            11,104 Sirosa Pictet        £107.50

DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE

Building Developer Size sq ft Ready
7 Clarges Street British Land      48,000 Q3 2016
11-12 Hanover Square Aviva      40,000 Q4 2016
10 Stratton Street Joint Treasure      44,000 Q2 2017
7-10 Hanover Square (Prelet) Morgan Capital     121,000 Q2 2017
7 Cork Street The Pollen Estate      35,000 Q3 2017

CURRENT AVAILABILITY

Building Landlord Size sq ft
Berkeley Square House Lancer Asset Management        20,500
1 Curzon Street Lancer Asset Management        29,706
1 New Burlington Place The Crown Estate         41,500
Park House, Park Street REM UK         31,949

SUMMARY

The Mayfair office market remains stable with steady demand albeit the majority of requirements are steered towards the sub £100.00 per sq ft market. Demand for new or substantially refurbished buildings quoting in excess of this figure limited with the exception of British Land’s 7 Clarges Street which is experiencing healthy demand having just been launched. The rental figures achieved in this building will be a very good market indicator.

BDG SPARKES PORTER AND
THE MAYFAIR OFFICE MARKET

There are 89 practices dealing with office lettings in the West End, of these 15 have global representation or are multi-disciplinary and the remaining 74 can be regarded as sector specialists. The vast majority of these practices transact less than 2 Mayfair deals annually. The top five firms who can be regarded as core West End specialists have performed in Mayfair during 2015/16 (the period of this study) as follows:

Firms No. of Deals / % Sq Ft / %
BDG Sparkes Porter 51 / (46.8%) 96,818 / (39.5%)
Crossland Otter Hunt 27 / (24.8%) 84,637 / (34.5%)
Edward Charles & Partners 13 / (11.9%) 25,747 / (10.5%)
Mellersh & Harding 9 / (8.25%) 25,805 / (10.5%)
Monmouth Dean 9 / (8.25%) 12,150 / (5.00%)
109 245,157
* CoStar data as of 21/10/2016

Based on the above we are proud of our position as the No. 1 Mayfair Office Agent.

Further information can be obtained by contacting
a member of the office agency team.

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